Trade scenarios

close below 1.1160 would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the possibility of further downside.

A successful rebound from support could push price toward the 1.1250 Resistance Zone (TP1).

Source resistance reference only; no explicit invalidation: Resistance Zone while holding above the 1.1160 Support Zone and the upward channel.

An important top would be confirmed if the market breaks well below 0.8110.

Source resistance reference (not a stated target): USD/CHF has seen a fresh drop from the 0.8317 area, where the previously broken channel support line acted as nice resistance.

Source support reference only; no explicit invalidation: On the 4-hour chart, the pair is already back near the 0.8207 support line.

This breakdown suggests that the previous consolidation may have transitioned into a bearish continuation phase, with the 2,200 area becoming an important level to monitor. 🔸 If bearish momentum continues, ETHUSDT could experience further downside as sellers potentially target lower support and …

The market previously experienced a strong bullish rally toward the 2,800 region, followed by a gradual shift in structure with lower highs and weakening buying momentum.

Source support reference only; no explicit invalidation: Recent price action shows sellers gaining control as ETH breaks below the rising trendline support near 2,300.

A decisive break above 158.03 would strengthen buyers’ positions and confirm upward momentum.

A break above this level would open the way to 158.94, with the main target at 160.08 in sight.

Source alternative (not a stated stop): A break below 157.14 would shift the outlook and

A decisive break above the wave ((a)) high at 1.3419 would strengthen the bullish case and confirm that the next leg higher is already underway.

This rally is expected to correct the decline from the August 21 peak before the broader bearish sequence resumes.

Source support reference only; no explicit invalidation: A subsequent correction in wave (iv) found support at 1.3298.

Recap: • Monday-Tuesday: breakout above 4,030. • Wednesday: a Fed spike to 4,082.8. • Thursday: every gain given back, 4,028 lost on hourly closes. • Overnight: 4,000 went too.

Source resistance reference (not a stated target): open air on this chart. • 4,000 is now the first resistance.

Source support reference only; no explicit invalidation: Back above it on a closing basis = the range holds again. • 4,028-4,030 above that, which was support all week and is now the line between "range" and "downtrend".

The recent push above 0.7060 resulted in an aggressive rejection back inside the structural boundaries, confirming a buy-side liquidity sweep[cite: 3].

Targets: TP1 at 0.7020 (lower wedge boundary and interim liquidity)[cite: 3].

at 0.6990 (macro dynamic trendline support)[cite: 3]. - Invalidation Point (SL): 0.7075 (a sustained candle close above the recent sweep high invalidates the bearish premise)[cite: 3]. - Estimated Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): 1:2.8 Risk Management & Educational Takeaway: Wait for hourly candle closure …

After failing to sustain momentum above the $2,650 structural ceiling earlier in October, price action has pivoted into a decisive corrective phase, carving out a descending channel and testing crucial near-term demand zones.

A breakdown beneath this immediate base exposes lower multi-week liquidity pools at $2,235.0 and the deeper downside target at $2,139.0.

A recent fakeout attempt above this descending trendline met aggressive selling pressure near the $2,414.50 invalidation threshold, confirming the dominance of the bear trend.

Support / TP1 Zone: Around 79,500 TP2 Zone: Around 78,500–78,650 📊 Possible Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks below the current support zone with strong bearish confirmation, further downside toward the TP2 area could be possible.

Source resistance reference (not a stated target): Bitcoin is showing bearish momentum after facing strong rejection from the upper resistance zone around 81,200–81,400.

Source alternative (not a stated stop): The current price action suggests that bearish pressure may continue if support fails to hold. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 80,450–80,600 Major Resistance: 81,200–81,400

Meanwhile, above 159.02

will target 160.38.

Source alternative (not a stated stop): On the downside, firm break of firm break of 156.06 will argue that rebound from 152.87 has completed after failing to sustain above 55 D EMA.